(This is Part-2 in a series; for Part-1, click here.)
My central point: there is plenty to worry about.
But first—unlike some people I know, I don’t have a horse in this race. I’m not fronting a theory and then twisting facts to suit the theory.
I’m trying to understand the level of threat and danger—and the key players who are guiding and managing and pushing the danger to the extreme.
I don’t trust Putin or Zelensky or NATO or Biden or Harris or Trump or US neocons or the CIA or the Russian intelligence services. I don’t have faith in them as they pursue their courses of action and I don’t accept their statements as facts.
I question Putin’s claims that there are major Nazi groups in the Ukraine who have control over significant sectors of the population.
Since WW2, the Soviet Union/Russia has tended to characterize its enemies and opponents as “Nazis.”
There are small groups of Nazis in the Ukraine, but I question their influence or power. There are also right-wing nationalist groups who are mislabeled “Nazis.”
Therefore, I don’t accept, at face value, Putin’s claim that Nazis were one reason why he invaded the Ukraine.
Is Zelensky looking at anything resembling reality and the actual consequences of his actions? He’s seeking a green light from the US to deploy American long-range missiles at targets deep inside Russia. If this happens, obviously the war moves to a new level. A highly unstable level.
Putin is not a leader whose back you want to put against the wall. He strikes me as a man with some kind of holy vision: restore the territory of the former Soviet Union. He’s not looking at the prospect as mere geopolitical strategy. It’s religious for him. Never a good sign.
If he sees Russian launching pads for missiles and drones destroyed by Ukraine deploying US long-range missiles, he might decide firing back with nukes is his best or only option.
Then, as everyone knows, all bets are off.
Another recent happening that caused Putin a shock to his system: